By Ese Erheriene
Shares fell sharply to multiweek lows across Asia on Wednesday, as a new poll showing Republican candidate Donald Trump leading the U.S. presidential race spooked investors.
Japan's Nikkei Stock Average closed down 1.8% at 17134.68 points, a two-week low. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 ended 1.2% lower at a seven-week low. Elsewhere, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was last down 1.3%, the Philippines' PSE index fell 1.8%, Taiwan closed 1.4% lower at a six-week low and the Shanghai Composite Index was down 0.6%.
"The market in Asia is reacting badly to the ABC/Washington Post poll" that showed Mr. Trump leading, said Tareck Horchani, deputy head of APAC sales trading at Saxo Markets. "If Trump wins, it looks like we could get a massive selloff as the market is overall long risk assets."
Overnight, an ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll showed Mr. Trump with a one-point advantage over Democrat Hillary Clinton, leading 46% to 45%.
U.S. stocks broadly fell as investors pulled back from risk, which spilled over into the Asian session. The Mexican peso, highly sensitive to developments in the U.S. presidential race, weakened to its lowest level since Oct. 7 and was recently down 0.6%. The Korean won fell 0.4%.
Analysts and investors generally view Mrs. Clinton as the more market-friendly candidate, and the mixed poll readings reminded some market participants of those released in the run-up to the unexpected result of the British referendum on leaving theEuropean Union.
"It paints a similar picture as a few months back with Brexit and the shock on the day itself," said Alex Wijaya, senior sales trader at CMC Markets. "Clinton is perceived to be more stable, whereas Trump is perceived as unpredictable and markets don't like uncertainty."
In Japan, financial and exporter stocks were hit particularly hard as investors digested what a win for Mr. Trump would mean for markets, given his dislike of many existing U.S. trade agreements. Among individual shares, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial shed 2.5% of its value, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial fell 2.4%, Suzuki Motor was down 1.8% and Honda Motor slid 3.5%.
Safe-haven buying was seen across assets, with the Japanese yen up 0.3% versus the dollar, the Swiss franc rising 0.2% against the U.S. currency and spot gold gaining 0.4%. Confidence in the probability of a U.S. interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve in December dropped to 73.6% from 78.0% a day earlier.
The selling and flight to safety occurred despite bullish manufacturing data out of the U.S., Mr. Horchani said.
The Institute for Supply Management said late Tuesday that its purchasing manufacturers' index rose to 51.9 in October from 51.5 in September, signaling that the U.S. manufacturing sector could be stabilizing after two years of challenging conditions.
Meanwhile, persistent skepticism that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will stick to their provisional production-cutting agreement continued to weigh on oil prices, depressing the share prices of regional producers. Brent, the global benchmark, was last down 0.7% at $47.81 a barrel. In Australia, Santos was down 4.3%, while Japan Petroleum was off 2.6% and Hong Kong's PetroChina slipped 1.9%.
Elsewhere, shares in Thailand were muted amid reports that Crown Prince Maha Vajiralongkorn could ascend to the throne next month, after the death of King Bhumibol Adulyadej, the world's longest-serving monarch, in October. The benchmark SET Index was last down 0.5%.
In South Korea, President Park Geun-hye's just-announced partial cabinet reshuffle wasn't expected to cause ripples in the current policy, analysts said. Ms. Park nominated a new prime minister, a finance minister and a new head of the Ministry of Public Safety. Korea's Kospi closed down 1.4% at a four-month low, as the export-heavy nation reacted to the latest U.S. presidential polls.
Looking ahead, the markets will be focusing on the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee meeting on interest rates later in the global trading day. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, the likelihood the Fed will announce a rate change is just 7.2%.
Anna Louie Sussman, Akane Otani and Kwanwoo Jun contributed to this article.
Write to Ese Erheriene at email@example.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 02, 2016 04:01 ET (08:01 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.