CUSTODY & INVESTOR SERVICES
Global custodians play a key role in helping their clients weather financial turmoil. Global Finance gathered a group of the industry’s leading players to discuss the implications of—and opportunities presented by—recent events.
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White: The market is reminiscent of 9/11, the way we've been hunkered down in our respective bunkers.
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GLOBAL FINANCE: Sovereign wealth funds have become a major investor class. How do their styles and needs differ from other investors, and how does this affect services they demand from custodians?
PETER CHERECWICH, chief operating officer for corporate and institutional services, Northern Trust: One of the things that make these sovereign funds different is the scale and diversity of their investments. Large direct investments are made as well as significant contributions to private equity, commodities, derivatives and traditional equities and bonds. The breadth of what they invest in and the complexity of those investments set them apart from other organizations.
KAMAL PALLAN, managing director and regional custody product executive, J.P. Morgan: Sovereign wealth funds have been around for a long time, but what is new is the sheer size of them, driven in part by record prices in commodities and trade surpluses in many Asian economies. Various research shows total assets under management as of May of this year to be as high as $3.7 trillion, larger than hedge fund or private equity investments. Some of the most experienced sovereign wealth funds tell us that they think of themselves not as a distinct investor class per se but simply as highly sophisticated, multiple-asset-class investment managers. In our experience, they are leading change agents and continue to push us forward collectively because of the breadth of their investments and the services they need.
KERRY WHITE, first vice president and manager of tax-exempt business, BNY Mellon Asset Servicing: In some ways they do look much like a large public fund that runs the gamut in terms of investments. From the custodian’s perspective, though, they pose a different challenge, not in how they invest but, for example, in the way they behave about their sovereign status and in their tax status. As a fiduciary they pose a challenge in terms of transparency and because they do benefit from this rather favorable tax status around the world.
CHERECWICH: Because of the market impact that the investments, as well as security and currency movements, could have, we have to be very careful about what information gets out in the marketplace. A lot of sovereign wealth funds have code names and privacy rules that have been implemented.
GF: Custodians are receiving more requests concerning transparency and risk, especially as clients try to improve their understanding of the possible impact of hard-to-value derivatives. What have custodians done to help their clients in this context?
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Pallan: Our clients want to wake up tomorrow morning and know that their custodian is still in business.
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PALLAN: As a custodian, we’re not just processing or settling trades. We’re providing our clients with insight into their portfolios, how their portfolios are performing and the risk embedded in their portfolios. In terms of derivatives, the biggest challenge is around OTC derivative contracts. There are three main “pain points” that custodians are tackling. First point, on valuation and pricing, we provide clients with the choice between independent valuations, calculated using market data and models, or third-party pricing services. Transparency as to source of pricing is critical. Another pain point is managing all of the events across the lifecycle of a derivative from trade capture onward. As an industry, we’ve made considerable progress working collectively to address regulatory and other concerns about processing efficiency. Finally, custodians provide risk analytics, which have been extended to derivatives, among other asset classes.
CHERECWICH: The term “derivatives” is utilized to describe a host of investment options. The valuation process, level of transparency and insight across all of these investments are very different—and some more difficult than others. As an industry, we have to help our clients understand that we are all on a journey, working with both the sell side and buy side, to continue to automate these new, esoteric types of derivatives while providing our clients as much information as possible.
WHITE: It is a journey. And just when you think you’re halfway through, another derivative is invented and there’s a new way of trading it or a different place to trade it. The three words we continue to see at the forefront of our clients’ minds are transparency, accountability and security. All of those factors apply to the esoteric securities that our clients are dealing with. We really have to understand what’s behind them and how they trade. Valuations continue to be a concern for our clients, as well as understanding who the counterparties are and identifying concentration risks. Clients with a basket of these types of derivatives need to know if they are overly exposed to one issue or to one dealer in particular. The journey continues to get more and more exciting.
CHERECWICH: As an industry we all have risk offerings, but we have to differentiate between risk reporting based on the data the custodian has and the provision of a robust risk system for clients to do scenario analysis.
GF: The structure of the US financial system is under severe strain. How is this affecting clients’ view of custodians?
WHITE: This turmoil has created an awful lot of concern and consternation across the industry. Clients are concerned about what it means for us as banks—what’s on our balance sheet and how this affects us as a custodian of their funds. They want to know what measures we’re taking in terms of managing our securities lending activities, our collateral pools, our sweep vehicles. We’ve been proactive in trying to address all of these concerns in an incredibly fluid, if not unprecedented, environment.
PALLAN: Simply put, our clients want to wake up tomorrow morning and know that their custodian is still in business. Given recent events, that is a valid concern, so there’s a flight to quality. We expect that to continue; if anything, it will be an ongoing process. Clients are looking less at just the cost of custody and more at the quality of their custodian. They want to see a fortress balance sheet, with strength and stability. Also, when markets are changing hour by hour and entities are filing for bankruptcy, they want constant information. They want insights on developments in a way that they may not have needed before. Finally, quite apart from the balance sheet, the transparency, the information, it’s the service that our clients need to get through really tough times like this.
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Cherecwich: If the emerging markets have reserves and they want to invest them, then this could help.
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CHERECWICH: This flight to quality is really being led by hedge funds. There is no question that everyone in this industry is getting phone calls, and we’re all working on how fast, frankly, to put those clients onto our books. For the first time in my 20 years, I’ve seen that the credit rating and the solidity of the custodian is the most valuable aspect.
GF: What do you think is going to be different about the financial world going forward?
WHITE: Sadly, the market is reminiscent of 9/11, the way we’ve been hunkered down in our respective bunkers, on the phone with our clients 24/7 and educating non-US clients about “bankruptcy law 101,” for example. These are issues that you never expected to be working on, but I think potentially, like post-9/11, we could see a better-organized operation or maybe even an umbrella structure of regulators. Sometimes you need a real crisis to make different agencies work together. Personally, I would like to see regulators operating in a more cohesive fashion.
PALLAN: The impact on custodians may be significant, driven by the demands of the regulators and the needs of our clients. We may see a more coordinated approach to regulation with the view of getting more transparency into what investors are doing.
CHERECWICH: It will be interesting to see how all this affects the competitive landscape. It’s not a surprise that Goldman and Morgan Stanley are now banks, but what does that mean? Wall Street as we know it is gone. What is the new prime brokerage model? Will OTC derivatives move more toward an exchange-traded format? These questions will have pretty major consequences for our industry and how we have to change the plumbing to make it work in this new structure.
GF: Pension clients have been moving from defined benefit [DB] to defined contribution [DC] plans. How will the current market turmoil affect their actions now?
WHITE: Aging populations are having a huge effect on the way benefit plans are evolving, shifting away from traditional defined benefit plans into defined contribution schemes. This is a global trend. DC assets, roughly $6 trillion now, are poised to grow to over $40 trillion by 2040. I did some research about the volatility that occurred in September, tracking the funded status of S&P; 500 corporations as a bellwether of how DBs are doing. At the beginning of 2008, they were on average 97% funded, so there was already a shortfall. At the beginning of September, the numbers were at 82%, but a couple of weeks later they were back up to 92%—still a significant shortfall. The shakeout in financial services could really have a tremendous impact, because the unfunded portion of companies’ benefit plans is considered an unsecured debt.
CHERECWICH: The most important skill for the custody industry is the ability to react to the trends. We have to be there to support whatever structures exist, and as a group we have to provide services that will help ensure there’s no panic. We must ensure the money stays in the system.
PALLAN: The pension industry is going to continue to grow, and you’re going to continue to see a shift from defined benefit to defined contribution schemes. What we as custodians have to do is make sure that we can accommodate this shift and provide the services, expertise and insight that our clients need, whether it be performance analytics, compliance, consulting or services designed specifically for defined contribution schemes.
GF: Recent regulatory announcements may be changing the role of custodians. What’s happening?
PALLAN: I’d like to address two areas where custodians are actively involved. The first is around understanding regulations that are imposed upon our clients and what we as custodians need to do to help them respond to those regulations. An example is the recent FAS 157 requirement. The second is around self-governance, where we as an industry come together to address issues and concerns in a coordinated way for the benefit of the markets and our clients. Both of these elements are increasingly important aspects of the custodian’s role.
CHERECWICH: One of the significant things we’ve seen is that the regulations are changing the role of the custodian into an educator; our clients are looking to us to help interpret how these regulations will impact them, what they should do. It’s not good enough simply to have a product; you have to be able to explain it and help ensure the client understands all of the nuances.
WHITE: As an industry, we’re very involved in working groups that help draft the legislation, which means we can educate our clients upfront about what to expect. Once it finally does come into play, the education role becomes even greater. What we are also looking at is the way we organize our technology for our clients. All of us have wonderful online reporting capabilities, but sometimes clients say there’s too much out there. We are creating more thematic types of pages within our online reporting capabilities to help present the information in a more orderly fashion for clients.
GF: Are we in for an extraordinary change in the level of regulation over the next few months in the United States?
WHITE: Yes. Certainly we’re seeing change in terms of the regulations that we have to abide by.
CHERECWICH: You’re going to see more reporting requirements, which will impact us first. Clients will also want information more and more quickly.
PALLAN: It comes back to transparency. The changes we face will be around reporting and monitoring for our clients.